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NEW QUESTION 50
While designing a game involving chance, Desmond noticed that the probability a fair coin lands faceup exactly 2 times when the coin is tossed 3 times is equal to the probability that a fair coin lands faceup exactly m times when the coin is tossed 7 times, where n > 3.
Select for m and for n values consistent with the given information. Make only two selections, one in each column.

Answer:

Explanation:

Explanation

NEW QUESTION 51
The passage most strongly indicates that the author would agree with which of the following statements?

• A. The conjunction fallacy is rarely committed outside of betting contexts.
• B. People who have studied the mathematical principles of probability are very unlikely to commit the conjunction fallacy.
• C. Many of the subjects in the various studies In addition to the 1998 study probably committed the conjunction fallacy.
• D. None of the subjects in the various studies other than the 1998 study who seemed to commit the conjunction fallacy actually did commit it.
• E. The conceptions of "probability" that underlie everyday use of the word rarely, if ever, conform to the mathematical principles of probability.

Answer: E

Explanation:
Explanation
Mathematical principles of probability entail that for any future event, the probability that it will occur Is at least as great as the probability that both it and some other given event will occur. Consider, for example, the following statements that were shown to subjects in a 1998 study.
X The percentage of adolescent smokers In Texas will decrease at least 15% from current levels by September
1, 1999.
Y The cigarette tax in Texas will increase by $1.00 per pack in 1999.
Z The cigarette tax in Texas will increase by $1.00 per pack in 1999, and the percentage of adolescent smokers in Texas will decrease at least 15% from current levels by September 1, 1999.
Z("Kand X") could not have been more probable than X.
Nevertheless, many of the subjects judged Zto be more probable than X. This mistaken form of reasoning, displayed with surprising frequency in various studies in addition to the 1998 study, is known as the "conjunction fallacy." A number of researchers have offered alternative explanations for the seeming manifestations of the mistake, thus arguing that the fallacy is less widely committed than the various studies would indicate. Some have claimed that research subjects can take "probability" in a sense that does not conform to the mathematical principles of probability. Detailed descriptions of some such conceptions of "probability" have been developed under the names of "confirmation" and "support." Other researchers would claim, correctly, that subjects shown Z(" Kand X") and ^simultaneously will sometimes think of Xas involving the negation of Y-as a claim that the percentage of adolescent smokers in Texas will decrease, but without the $1.00 increase in the cigarette tax.
However, although the subjects in the 1998 study were to consider Xand Z simultaneously, the statements were presented in terms of bets rather than explicit requests for judgments of relative probability. Subjects were asked to choose between Zand X, with a chance of winning $50.00 if the chosen statement turned out to be true. Terms such as "most probable," "likely," etc., were thus avoided, and the interpretation of X\n conjunction with the negation of Kwas thereby eliminated. And with these alternative explanations eliminated, many of the subjects nonetheless bet on Zrather than X:

NEW QUESTION 52
Certain messenger molecules fight damage to the lungs from noxious air by telling the muscle cells encircling the lungs' airways to contract. This partially seals off the lungs. An asthma attack occurs when the messenger molecules are activated unnecessarily, in response to harmless things like pollen or household dust.
Which of the following, if true, points to the most serious flaw of a plan to develop a medication that would prevent asthma attacks by blocking receipt of any messages sent by the messenger molecules referred to above?

• A. Such a medication would be unable to distinguish between messages triggered by pollen and household dust and messages triggered by noxious air.
• B. Such a medication would not become available for several years, because of long lead times in both development and manufacture.
• C. Researchers do not yet know what makes one person's messenger molecules more easily activated than another's.
• D. Such a medication would be a preventative only and would be unable to alleviate an asthma attack once it had started.
• E. Researchers do not yet know how the body produces the messenger molecules that trigger asthma attacks.

Answer: A

Explanation:
Explanation/Reference:
Explanation:

NEW QUESTION 53
Manufacturers and retailers tend to look askance at gray markets, where products are sold at cut-rate prices outside their authorized distribution channels. Manufacturers fear that gray markets will undercut margins and tarnish brand names. Retailers fear that they will siphon away customers and erode prices.
A new study indicates, however, that gray marketing actually benefits manufacturers and retailers in markets that meet two criteria: first, sharp differences exist in consumers' price sensitivity; second, large numbers of consumers are price-insensitive. In such markets, the low prices of the gray market will attract the most price-sensitive customers. The authonzed channels will then compete only for the remaining customers-those who are insensitive to price but sensitive to service.
When that happens, the structure of competition and the economics of the market shift. The authorized retailers, freed from having to cater to the bargain hunters, can raise their prices and focus on service. If the concentration of price-insensitive shoppers is high enough, the resulting increase in prices will more than offset the loss of sales to the bargain hunters. The margins and profits of the authorized retailers will increase, and manufacturers will, as a result, be able to boost their wholesale prices.
The primary purpose of the passage is to

• A. explain how, in certain types of markets, gray marketing can improve margins and profits for manufacturers and authorized retailers
• B. identify the effects, both beneficial and detrimental, that gray markets have on manufacturers and authorized retailers
• C. present the results of a study that indicates that under most conditions gray markets are beneficial to manufacturers and authorized retailers
• D. outline a course of action that manufacturers and authorized retailers can take to gain benefits from gray marketing
• E. provide arguments for and against the view that gray markets are beneficial to manufacturers and authorized retailers

Answer: A

NEW QUESTION 54
Parasitic wasps propagate by injecting their eggs into a caterpillar that then becomes paralyzed as the eggs inside develop into wasp larvae. The wasp larvae kill the caterpillar host as they feed on it, form cocoons, and finally develop into wasps. In attempting to discover how such wasps detect the presence of the caterpillar hosts that are so critical to the wasps' propagation, researchers have uncovered an intriguing defense mechanism developed by the plants on which the caterpillars feed.
When chewed on, many plants release volatile compounds from both damaged and undamaged tissues. When these compounds are toxic to the insects that feed on the plants, they can help defend the plants from such attacks. However, the plants on which the wasps' caterpillar hosts feed have evolved an even more complex defense: the caterpillar-infested plants appear to release volatile chemicals that attract parasitic wasps, which then prey on the caterpillars. Scientists originally suspected that the wasps were attracted by an odor, reminiscent of cut grass, that is released as the caterpillar feeds, but a recent study suggests that a different set of volatile attractants is involved. In this study, when researchers used a razor blade to mimic caterpillar damage on the leaves, only grassy odors were emitted, not the volatile compounds that attracted wasps.
However, when oral secretions from the caterpillars were applied to these damaged leaves, the leaves released the wasp attractants several hours later. Further tests revealed that oral secretions placed on the razor-damaged leaves stimulated the release of such attractants, making the plants as attractive to wasps as plants that had suffered actual caterpillar damage. These results suggest that chemicals from the caterpillar must be present for these attractants to be released and that unlike the grassy scent, which emanates only as the caterpillar on the plant, the wasp attractants are produced several hours after the attack and persist for several hours, perhaps days. Researchers have launched additional studies to determine whether the wasps' capacity to prey on caterpillars can be enhanced to the extent that the wasps could be used as a natural pesticide to "police" plants and protect them from crop-destroying caterpillars.
It can be inferred from the passage that if the leaves of a plant were damaged by wind rather than by caterpillars, the parasitic wasps would

• A. be attracted to the plant if other plants in its immediate vicinity had also been damaged by the wind
• B. not be significantly more attracted to the damaged plant than to other, undamaged plants
• C. be attracted to the plant even if the damage to the leaves was very minor
• D. not be attracted to the plant until several hours after the damage occurred
• E. be attracted to the plant if it gave off a grassy odor

Answer: B

NEW QUESTION 55
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